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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+3.28vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+5.79vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.39+5.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+2.33vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+2.78vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+2.18vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.29+1.63vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.79-1.35vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.68-1.65vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29-1.49vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.90-0.81vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.67-4.80vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.86-2.65vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.64vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.32-0.27vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-3.30vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.81-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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8.26Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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8.63Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.65Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.35Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.51University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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10.19Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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14.73University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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12.7Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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13.71Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 21.4% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Crane | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Emily Billing | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 18.0% | 45.9% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 13.3% |
| Alison Love | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 23.4% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.