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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+3.35vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.26+2.96vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.60+3.63vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.16-0.93vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.530.00vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.85+0.30vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.58-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.83-1.82vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.95-2.95vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.11-1.64vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.63-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Jacksonville University1.7014.3%1st Place
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4.96Old Dominion University1.2611.1%1st Place
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6.63Christopher Newport University0.604.9%1st Place
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3.07College of Charleston2.1628.4%1st Place
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5.0North Carolina State University1.539.2%1st Place
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6.3Eckerd College0.857.0%1st Place
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5.75Hampton University0.587.6%1st Place
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6.18University of Miami0.836.6%1st Place
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6.05Rollins College0.956.8%1st Place
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8.36Clemson University-0.112.7%1st Place
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9.35The Citadel-0.631.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Igoe | 14.3% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
Blake Goodwin | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
Aston Atherton | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 5.8% |
Eliott Raison | 28.4% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Jacob Usher | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
Pj Rodrigues | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
Tyler Brown | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
Nathan Long | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
Milo Miller | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 4.2% |
Neil Bunce | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 23.8% | 25.2% |
Camden Hom | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 16.1% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.