Race 1B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stewart Gurnell 59.3% 26.3% 10.5% 3.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Tiernan 8.7% 13.5% 19.9% 19.8% 15.2% 12.5% 6.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 14.1% 26.2% 22.9% 16.5% 11.6% 6.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Kirk 2.3% 4.9% 7.9% 8.2% 12.1% 17.4% 18.9% 14.8% 9.5% 3.2% 0.8%
Abigail Brooks 1.8% 3.2% 2.9% 5.8% 9.6% 10.7% 12.0% 20.9% 17.9% 11.7% 3.5%
Zhenyu Yin 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 3.8% 4.8% 10.0% 21.9% 53.6%
Robert Chapman 1.0% 1.5% 2.9% 2.2% 3.3% 4.6% 9.9% 10.8% 24.8% 23.3% 15.7%
Tyler Merrow 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 2.0% 2.0% 4.2% 5.7% 9.7% 17.6% 31.6% 24.7%
Jonathan Gorman 7.5% 12.3% 16.5% 19.9% 15.9% 13.7% 8.1% 4.1% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Dasaro 2.6% 6.5% 7.5% 9.9% 15.4% 14.3% 16.4% 15.3% 8.4% 3.1% 0.6%
Lindsey Winter 2.0% 4.5% 7.2% 10.7% 13.0% 14.5% 17.2% 15.8% 9.1% 4.9% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.