Race 2B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stewart Gurnell 57.6% 28.9% 10.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 15.6% 26.3% 25.8% 14.5% 10.3% 4.1% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Gorman 7.2% 10.3% 16.6% 19.0% 16.6% 14.8% 8.9% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Brian Tiernan 7.1% 13.7% 18.4% 18.4% 18.7% 12.5% 6.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Michael Dasaro 3.5% 4.9% 7.5% 13.3% 11.1% 15.4% 17.3% 15.0% 8.3% 3.1% 0.6%
Abigail Brooks 1.2% 3.2% 3.6% 5.3% 8.6% 10.2% 15.4% 18.9% 18.0% 12.2% 3.4%
Lindsey Winter 2.6% 5.8% 6.0% 10.5% 11.9% 15.3% 17.5% 15.5% 9.8% 4.6% 0.5%
Jack Kirk 3.3% 5.1% 7.9% 12.2% 13.8% 15.5% 15.2% 14.1% 9.8% 2.4% 0.7%
Tyler Merrow 0.8% 0.5% 1.5% 0.9% 2.8% 4.1% 4.5% 8.9% 16.9% 31.2% 27.9%
Zhenyu Yin 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 1.7% 2.6% 3.7% 5.1% 12.9% 20.5% 51.3%
Robert Chapman 0.7% 0.7% 2.3% 2.3% 4.1% 5.2% 8.3% 14.0% 21.5% 25.3% 15.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.