Race 3B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stewart Gurnell 59.7% 26.9% 10.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 15.3% 30.0% 24.3% 14.7% 8.6% 4.9% 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Abigail Brooks 1.8% 2.8% 4.6% 5.9% 7.9% 9.6% 14.4% 20.0% 16.8% 13.0% 3.2%
Samantha Mislinski 4.1% 6.5% 11.9% 15.0% 17.1% 15.1% 14.3% 9.5% 5.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Brian Tiernan 8.0% 15.7% 21.6% 19.2% 14.4% 10.1% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Kirk 2.6% 5.6% 7.8% 12.0% 15.1% 15.3% 15.5% 12.6% 8.8% 4.0% 0.7%
Lindsey Winter 2.9% 5.8% 5.7% 11.7% 13.1% 16.1% 15.9% 15.1% 9.2% 3.6% 0.9%
Michael Dasaro 3.6% 5.0% 10.0% 13.0% 15.7% 15.4% 14.5% 11.4% 8.4% 2.7% 0.3%
Tyler Merrow 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 2.0% 3.0% 3.6% 5.0% 9.7% 16.4% 27.0% 30.8%
Robert Chapman 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 3.3% 3.3% 6.6% 6.9% 13.4% 22.1% 25.3% 15.4%
Zhenyu Yin 0.5% 0.1% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 3.1% 4.5% 5.3% 11.7% 23.4% 48.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.