Race 4B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stewart Gurnell 60.1% 28.8% 8.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 15.8% 29.0% 25.2% 14.5% 9.1% 4.2% 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Abigail Brooks 1.6% 3.0% 4.2% 6.0% 6.8% 9.8% 15.5% 19.3% 17.9% 12.5% 3.4%
Brian Tiernan 7.6% 13.1% 20.7% 20.8% 15.6% 12.0% 5.6% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Kirk 3.4% 4.8% 9.1% 11.7% 13.7% 14.9% 16.8% 12.4% 9.3% 3.6% 0.3%
Samantha Mislinski 3.4% 8.8% 11.4% 16.3% 16.9% 16.3% 11.1% 9.1% 4.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Michael Dasaro 3.2% 6.3% 8.9% 12.1% 16.0% 14.9% 16.8% 11.3% 7.3% 2.7% 0.5%
Lindsey Winter 2.9% 4.4% 7.7% 10.0% 15.0% 15.4% 14.7% 14.9% 10.2% 4.4% 0.4%
Robert Chapman 0.9% 0.9% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 4.9% 7.6% 13.1% 21.2% 26.4% 16.6%
Tyler Merrow 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 2.6% 2.1% 4.3% 5.6% 11.1% 17.3% 26.2% 28.3%
Zhenyu Yin 0.5% 0.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 3.2% 4.3% 5.2% 10.9% 22.3% 50.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.