Race 5B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Brian Tiernan 6.4% 14.2% 19.7% 19.5% 16.2% 13.0% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Abigail Brooks 1.4% 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 9.0% 11.1% 14.3% 20.1% 18.8% 10.7% 3.3%
Stewart Gurnell 59.4% 27.0% 9.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 14.9% 24.6% 25.3% 17.7% 9.6% 4.4% 2.8% 0.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Gorman 7.2% 13.9% 15.9% 18.1% 15.8% 14.4% 8.2% 5.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Jack Kirk 2.1% 5.7% 7.4% 10.3% 13.9% 16.5% 16.2% 15.1% 7.5% 4.5% 0.8%
Lindsey Winter 3.8% 4.7% 7.0% 8.5% 12.5% 15.1% 17.1% 16.8% 9.9% 4.0% 0.6%
Michael Dasaro 3.2% 4.2% 8.6% 13.1% 14.1% 14.9% 17.9% 11.8% 8.7% 3.1% 0.4%
Robert Chapman 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 2.8% 3.7% 4.0% 6.8% 12.6% 22.9% 26.1% 17.6%
Zhenyu Yin 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 2.7% 3.6% 5.7% 11.9% 20.3% 52.5%
Tyler Merrow 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.8% 3.2% 3.7% 5.7% 9.9% 17.8% 30.9% 24.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.