Race 6B

john-quinn

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 14.7% 26.2% 23.9% 17.7% 11.0% 4.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Tiernan 9.3% 11.7% 21.8% 20.5% 14.1% 11.8% 7.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 58.1% 27.4% 10.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Dasaro 2.3% 5.2% 6.2% 10.5% 11.9% 19.3% 17.2% 14.6% 8.6% 3.8% 0.4%
Jonathan Gorman 6.9% 13.9% 16.0% 19.0% 18.0% 10.6% 8.5% 5.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Lindsey Winter 1.7% 5.1% 7.4% 8.3% 12.5% 14.5% 18.5% 13.9% 12.3% 5.0% 0.8%
Abigail Brooks 1.9% 3.6% 4.4% 5.9% 8.0% 11.5% 14.9% 18.9% 18.7% 9.2% 3.0%
Robert Chapman 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.3% 3.1% 5.0% 8.8% 13.4% 21.2% 25.8% 16.7%
Jack Kirk 3.2% 4.9% 6.7% 10.4% 15.5% 15.1% 14.3% 15.0% 10.1% 3.4% 1.4%
Tyler Merrow 0.5% 0.4% 1.3% 1.6% 2.8% 4.5% 6.1% 10.0% 15.8% 28.6% 28.4%
Zhenyu Yin 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 2.1% 3.0% 3.4% 5.5% 10.7% 23.9% 49.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.