Race 7B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Abigail Brooks 1.3% 2.9% 4.1% 7.8% 7.5% 10.8% 13.6% 20.7% 18.7% 9.5% 3.1%
Brian Tiernan 8.4% 19.3% 23.0% 18.4% 14.3% 8.9% 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Samantha Mislinski 4.1% 9.5% 11.9% 15.3% 15.6% 14.5% 13.7% 9.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Michael Dasaro 2.2% 7.5% 9.6% 10.3% 13.1% 16.7% 15.5% 11.7% 9.8% 3.1% 0.5%
Zak Dasaro 9.2% 19.4% 22.0% 16.7% 12.8% 8.5% 6.6% 3.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 65.5% 24.5% 7.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Kirk 4.5% 7.0% 9.4% 11.2% 15.7% 14.5% 14.2% 12.0% 7.8% 2.9% 0.8%
Robert Chapman 1.0% 2.0% 1.8% 3.1% 3.0% 5.7% 8.4% 12.5% 21.5% 25.0% 16.0%
Zhenyu Yin 0.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 2.5% 2.5% 5.2% 9.5% 21.1% 54.8%
Lindsey Winter 2.9% 6.6% 8.6% 11.0% 13.2% 14.3% 14.1% 14.4% 10.0% 4.5% 0.4%
Tyler Merrow 0.8% 0.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.1% 3.4% 6.8% 7.9% 17.0% 31.9% 24.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.