← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College2.11+0.50vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University0.05+1.82vs Predicted
-
3Monmouth University-1.60+4.13vs Predicted
-
4-0.95+1.89vs Predicted
-
5Stevens Institute of Technology-0.92+0.66vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University-1.10+0.01vs Predicted
-
8Villanova University0.11-4.39vs Predicted
-
9Ocean County College-2.48-0.44vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-5.01vs Predicted
-
11Rutgers University-3.37-1.18vs Predicted
-
12University of Delaware-2.84-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.5Washington College2.110.6%1st Place
-
3.82Princeton University0.050.1%1st Place
-
7.13Monmouth University-1.600.0%1st Place
-
5.89-0.950.0%1st Place
-
5.66Stevens Institute of Technology-0.920.0%1st Place
-
6.01Drexel University-1.100.0%1st Place
-
3.61Villanova University0.110.1%1st Place
-
8.56Ocean County College-2.480.0%1st Place
-
4.99SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
9.82Rutgers University-3.370.0%1st Place
-
9.02University of Delaware-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 64.5% | 24.3% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 8.6% | 18.8% | 21.1% | 18.3% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Brooks | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 10.8% | 3.4% |
| Jack Kirk | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Dasaro | 3.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Lindsey Winter | 2.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Brian Tiernan | 10.2% | 22.0% | 21.0% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chapman | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 21.0% | 24.7% | 17.1% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 4.6% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Zhenyu Yin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 53.0% |
| Tyler Merrow | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 31.1% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.