Race 9B

john-quinn

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stewart Gurnell 66.1% 24.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Larson 6.5% 16.0% 19.4% 19.7% 13.1% 10.5% 8.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Jonathan Gorman 8.1% 15.8% 20.3% 18.6% 14.3% 10.5% 7.6% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Lindsey Winter 2.3% 6.6% 7.4% 8.9% 11.9% 14.2% 16.7% 15.7% 10.5% 5.0% 0.8%
Alex Wiggins 7.2% 14.4% 16.1% 15.2% 15.9% 13.6% 8.0% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Joe Cooner 2.7% 6.7% 9.2% 9.6% 11.8% 15.3% 15.1% 13.3% 10.3% 5.1% 0.9%
Jack Kirk 3.4% 8.3% 10.8% 12.3% 15.4% 13.3% 15.1% 10.8% 8.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Zhenyu Yin 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.6% 1.0% 2.5% 2.8% 5.5% 11.6% 22.2% 50.8%
Abigail Brooks 1.8% 4.7% 5.0% 5.8% 9.4% 10.4% 13.6% 17.9% 17.4% 10.4% 3.6%
Tyler Merrow 0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 3.5% 5.7% 11.4% 14.5% 26.9% 29.3%
Robert Chapman 0.6% 1.6% 2.6% 3.4% 4.1% 6.1% 6.5% 12.2% 22.3% 26.5% 14.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.