Race 10B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stewart Gurnell 69.0% 22.6% 6.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Kirk 3.6% 8.3% 10.0% 13.8% 12.7% 16.0% 12.7% 11.2% 8.4% 3.1% 0.2%
Alex Wiggins 6.1% 14.0% 17.4% 15.4% 16.8% 12.2% 8.8% 6.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Samantha Mislinski 4.5% 12.8% 12.1% 14.5% 16.3% 14.7% 12.0% 7.6% 3.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Lindsey Winter 3.2% 8.2% 9.3% 11.5% 12.0% 11.9% 14.3% 13.0% 11.4% 4.2% 1.0%
Abigail Brooks 1.7% 4.0% 6.6% 7.0% 9.2% 9.4% 13.4% 17.2% 15.8% 12.4% 3.3%
Tyler Merrow 0.6% 1.8% 3.1% 2.1% 2.7% 3.8% 5.4% 10.3% 15.4% 28.9% 25.9%
Joe Cooner 3.2% 6.7% 10.9% 13.3% 11.2% 13.2% 13.5% 13.1% 10.3% 4.0% 0.6%
Connor Larson 7.1% 19.0% 20.1% 15.1% 12.4% 11.7% 7.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Zhenyu Yin 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.8% 1.6% 2.6% 3.9% 5.0% 11.4% 19.8% 52.1%
Robert Chapman 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 4.0% 5.0% 4.5% 8.2% 11.5% 20.2% 24.6% 16.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.