← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.70+3.26vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College0.85+4.01vs Predicted
-
3Hampton University0.58+2.71vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University0.60+2.46vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College0.95+0.88vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.16-2.82vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.26-2.11vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami0.33-0.79vs Predicted
-
9Clemson University-0.11-0.79vs Predicted
-
10North Carolina State University1.53-5.09vs Predicted
-
11The Citadel-0.63-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.26Jacksonville University1.7014.2%1st Place
-
6.01Eckerd College0.857.2%1st Place
-
5.71Hampton University0.588.3%1st Place
-
6.46Christopher Newport University0.605.1%1st Place
-
5.88Rollins College0.957.4%1st Place
-
3.18College of Charleston2.1626.5%1st Place
-
4.89Old Dominion University1.2611.1%1st Place
-
7.21University of Miami0.334.7%1st Place
-
8.21Clemson University-0.112.4%1st Place
-
4.91North Carolina State University1.5310.9%1st Place
-
9.28The Citadel-0.632.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Igoe | 14.2% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
Pj Rodrigues | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 3.7% |
Tyler Brown | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
Aston Atherton | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 5.5% |
Milo Miller | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
Eliott Raison | 26.5% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Blake Goodwin | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Dan Elling | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 10.2% |
Neil Bunce | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 21.6% | 23.6% |
Jacob Usher | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Camden Hom | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 17.2% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.