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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+5.62vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.09vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+5.64vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.51+0.44vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+2.75vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.05vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92-0.73vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.39+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86+1.44vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.900.00vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-2.84vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.81+1.64vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.29-4.27vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.67-6.68vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.68-7.85vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-3.29vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.32-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.64University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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4.44Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.11Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.0Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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13.64Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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8.73Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.15Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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12.71Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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14.87University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.6% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Alison Love | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 21.0% | 26.4% |
| Emily Billing | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 13.1% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 19.4% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.