Race 11B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stewart Gurnell 64.3% 25.6% 7.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Gorman 7.9% 18.3% 18.6% 19.8% 13.4% 9.5% 7.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Alex Wiggins 6.4% 10.8% 14.9% 16.7% 15.5% 16.5% 10.4% 6.0% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Abigail Brooks 1.4% 3.4% 4.1% 6.0% 8.5% 10.1% 14.2% 20.4% 17.1% 11.5% 3.3%
Jack Kirk 3.1% 7.2% 9.4% 12.1% 14.4% 14.3% 14.8% 12.6% 8.0% 3.5% 0.6%
Joe Cooner 2.5% 6.3% 7.7% 11.1% 11.2% 14.5% 17.9% 12.8% 10.6% 4.3% 1.1%
Zak Dasaro 9.7% 20.7% 21.5% 16.3% 13.6% 9.1% 5.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Lindsey Winter 3.0% 5.4% 10.0% 10.1% 13.9% 14.3% 13.4% 16.0% 9.7% 3.4% 0.8%
Tyler Merrow 0.9% 0.4% 2.4% 1.8% 2.6% 3.8% 4.6% 8.2% 16.1% 31.4% 27.8%
Zhenyu Yin 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 4.4% 5.1% 12.1% 20.8% 50.9%
Robert Chapman 0.5% 1.2% 2.7% 3.3% 4.5% 6.0% 7.1% 12.8% 22.2% 24.2% 15.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.