Race 12B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stewart Gurnell 67.3% 24.0% 6.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindsey Winter 3.2% 6.1% 9.3% 11.7% 11.1% 14.4% 15.2% 14.5% 9.8% 4.1% 0.6%
Zak Dasaro 8.7% 19.3% 21.1% 17.2% 15.3% 8.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Abigail Brooks 1.2% 4.0% 4.5% 7.1% 8.6% 9.6% 13.7% 19.0% 17.5% 11.1% 3.7%
Alex Wiggins 7.3% 14.9% 17.7% 13.9% 16.4% 10.7% 10.1% 6.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Samantha Mislinski 3.4% 12.9% 14.3% 16.6% 14.2% 14.9% 9.7% 8.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
Joe Cooner 3.3% 7.5% 9.9% 11.5% 12.6% 15.5% 13.6% 14.5% 7.0% 3.9% 0.7%
Jack Kirk 3.6% 7.7% 12.1% 13.2% 13.1% 14.2% 13.3% 12.0% 7.3% 3.0% 0.5%
Tyler Merrow 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 3.0% 2.2% 3.5% 5.6% 7.1% 17.9% 27.4% 30.0%
Robert Chapman 0.7% 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 4.5% 5.8% 7.9% 10.9% 22.1% 25.0% 15.5%
Zhenyu Yin 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 3.1% 4.0% 4.6% 12.0% 23.5% 48.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.