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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.04+6.89vs Predicted
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2Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+8.05vs Predicted
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32.22+1.39vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+3.53vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+1.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50+3.63vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.98-1.90vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.09-3.16vs Predicted
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9Bentley University1.03-1.13vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.83-4.40vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.37+0.99vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.94-6.56vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.23-2.41vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.69-5.01vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.59-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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10.05Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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4.392.220.2%1st Place
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7.53Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
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5.1Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.84Yale University2.090.2%1st Place
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7.87Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.6Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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11.99Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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10.59Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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13.91University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Galbraith | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| John Holt | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 4.2% |
| Jed Bell | 16.0% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Alex Abate | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Morejon | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 13.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 16.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Francis Doyle | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 28.8% | 18.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 6.0% |
| Madeline Simms | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 1.1% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 13.2% | 67.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.