← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.94+4.18vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.18+5.30vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.09+1.73vs Predicted
-
4Bentley University1.03+3.96vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+1.14vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.04+1.99vs Predicted
-
72.22-2.56vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.98-2.86vs Predicted
-
9Olin College of Engineering-0.37+2.95vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University1.83-4.40vs Predicted
-
11Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.79vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50-2.17vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University0.69-3.76vs Predicted
-
14Yale University0.23-3.64vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire-1.59-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.18University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
-
7.3Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
-
4.73Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
-
7.96Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
-
6.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
-
7.99Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
-
4.442.220.2%1st Place
-
5.14Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
-
11.95Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
-
5.6Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
-
10.21Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
-
9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
-
9.24Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
-
10.36Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
-
13.93University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carter Brock | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Sam Tobin | 14.6% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Alex Abate | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Jed Bell | 16.0% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 28.3% | 14.3% |
| Francis Doyle | 10.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Holt | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 6.2% |
| David Morejon | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 2.4% |
| Madeline Simms | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 4.3% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.