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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+4.17vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+3.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.69+5.95vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.04+4.02vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.98+0.20vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.09-1.21vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.83-1.43vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.22-3.55vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-1.56vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering-0.37+1.95vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.74vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.23-1.40vs Predicted
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13Bentley University1.03-4.83vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50-5.44vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.59-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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5.2Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.79Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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4.45Brown University2.220.2%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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11.95Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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10.26Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.6Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.17Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
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13.91University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 12.7% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Abate | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Simms | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 11.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 16.2% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 28.9% | 16.1% |
| John Holt | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 6.5% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 4.4% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| David Morejon | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 1.9% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.