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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.09+3.76vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+3.90vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.94+2.21vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+5.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.04+3.00vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering-0.37+5.92vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22-2.55vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.98-2.84vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50+0.60vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-2.38vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.23-0.61vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-1.54vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.59+1.04vs Predicted
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14Bentley University1.03-6.10vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.83-10.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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5.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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11.92Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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4.45Brown University2.220.2%1st Place
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5.16Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
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7.62Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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10.39Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.46Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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14.04University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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7.9Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Tobin | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Abate | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Simms | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 16.1% | 29.3% | 15.5% |
| Jed Bell | 15.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 12.6% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Morejon | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 1.9% |
| Carter Brock | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 5.2% |
| John Holt | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 5.4% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 69.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Francis Doyle | 10.4% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.