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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.22+3.44vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.04+5.82vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.69+5.92vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.09+0.87vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+2.56vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+0.07vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering-0.37+4.81vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.94-2.77vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.98-3.95vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+0.26vs Predicted
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11Bentley University1.03-2.96vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.23-1.36vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50-3.20vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.59-1.02vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.83-10.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.442.220.2%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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4.87Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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7.56Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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11.81Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.05Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.26Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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8.04Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.64Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
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13.98University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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5.51Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 15.6% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Madeline Simms | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 1.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Alex Abate | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 27.6% | 16.1% |
| Matthew Schryver | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Holt | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 5.9% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 4.1% |
| David Morejon | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 3.0% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 12.7% | 67.8% |
| Francis Doyle | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.