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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.67+4.37vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.13+2.20vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+3.64vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.24+2.65vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+2.33vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.09+4.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.36-3.28vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.17-1.09vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35+1.97vs Predicted
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10Yale University-0.11+0.48vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.65+0.68vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.10-7.45vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.74-7.52vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25-1.08vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.16-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.2Harvard University2.130.2%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University1.240.1%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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10.37Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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3.72Brown University2.360.2%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island1.170.1%1st Place
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10.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
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10.48Yale University-0.110.0%1st Place
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11.68Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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4.55Northeastern University2.100.1%1st Place
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5.48Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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12.92Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
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12.73University of New Hampshire-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Chaumont | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 16.7% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lindsay | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ege Ozgul | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 19.8% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 6.9% |
| Jacob Asher | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 5.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 14.9% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ferrara | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 22.6% | 34.7% |
| Kalen Mullin | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.