← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.67+4.42vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.17+4.72vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35+7.88vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.02+3.28vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+1.81vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.13-1.69vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.36-3.23vs Predicted
-
8Yale University-0.11+2.43vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.10-4.69vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.24-3.20vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University1.74-5.65vs Predicted
-
12Bentley University-0.09-1.44vs Predicted
-
13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25+0.01vs Predicted
-
14Olin College of Engineering-0.65-2.35vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire-1.16-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.42Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
-
6.72University of Rhode Island1.170.1%1st Place
-
10.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
-
7.28Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
-
6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
-
4.31Harvard University2.130.2%1st Place
-
3.77Brown University2.360.2%1st Place
-
10.43Yale University-0.110.0%1st Place
-
4.31Northeastern University2.100.1%1st Place
-
6.8Tufts University1.240.1%1st Place
-
5.35Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
-
10.56Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
-
13.01Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
-
11.65Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
-
12.7University of New Hampshire-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Chaumont | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 7.8% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lindsay | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 15.2% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 20.4% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Asher | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 15.0% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ege Ozgul | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Nick Ferrara | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 22.2% | 37.2% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 14.5% |
| Kalen Mullin | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 23.5% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.