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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+6.17vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.67+3.37vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.74+2.26vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.36-0.20vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.13-0.59vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.10-1.62vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.17-0.17vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-1.26vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.65+2.71vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35+0.99vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.24-4.27vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.16+0.91vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25+0.05vs Predicted
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14Yale University-0.11-3.61vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.09-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.37Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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5.26Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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3.8Brown University2.360.2%1st Place
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4.41Harvard University2.130.2%1st Place
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4.38Northeastern University2.100.2%1st Place
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6.83University of Rhode Island1.170.1%1st Place
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6.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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11.71Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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10.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University1.240.1%1st Place
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12.91University of New Hampshire-1.160.0%1st Place
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13.05Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
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10.39Yale University-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.26Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 19.9% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 15.2% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 15.1% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lindsay | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 19.6% | 16.3% | 13.8% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 7.2% |
| Ege Ozgul | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kalen Mullin | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 24.1% | 32.1% |
| Nick Ferrara | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 21.7% | 37.4% |
| Jacob Asher | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
| Brian Kiley | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.