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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.70vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.39+6.12vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.68+4.18vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+3.94vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.86+4.42vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-1.80vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.29-0.21vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.09vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.29-2.21vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.79-5.22vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-4.90vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.90-3.79vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.32-0.29vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.81-2.26vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.16-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.12Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.18Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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4.34Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.79Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.79University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.78Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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10.21Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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14.71University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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13.74Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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12.7Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Sydney Bolger | 19.1% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 17.6% | 46.2% |
| Alison Love | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 22.3% | 23.8% |
| Ryann Hall | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.