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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.16+2.06vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.26+2.97vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.70+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.33+3.22vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.95+0.87vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.85+0.06vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.63+2.36vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.53-3.21vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.58-3.26vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.11-1.71vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.60-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06College of Charleston2.1626.7%1st Place
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4.97Old Dominion University1.2610.3%1st Place
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4.23Jacksonville University1.7016.6%1st Place
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7.22University of Miami0.334.5%1st Place
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5.87Rollins College0.957.0%1st Place
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6.06Eckerd College0.857.2%1st Place
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9.36The Citadel-0.631.1%1st Place
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4.79North Carolina State University1.5311.2%1st Place
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5.74Hampton University0.587.2%1st Place
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8.29Clemson University-0.112.5%1st Place
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6.4Christopher Newport University0.605.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eliott Raison | 26.7% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Blake Goodwin | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
Patrick Igoe | 16.6% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
Dan Elling | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 8.8% |
Milo Miller | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
Pj Rodrigues | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
Camden Hom | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 51.8% |
Jacob Usher | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
Tyler Brown | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
Neil Bunce | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 21.8% | 23.9% |
Aston Atherton | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.