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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.67+4.41vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.36+1.72vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.10+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.17+2.91vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+2.38vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.74-0.73vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.13-2.76vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering-0.65+3.69vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.24-2.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-3.13vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35+0.01vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25+1.09vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-0.09-2.53vs Predicted
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14Yale University-0.11-3.67vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.16-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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3.72Brown University2.360.2%1st Place
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4.38Northeastern University2.100.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island1.170.1%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.27Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.24Harvard University2.130.2%1st Place
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11.69Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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11.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
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13.09Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
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10.47Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.33Yale University-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.63University of New Hampshire-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Chaumont | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 19.7% | 19.7% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 14.7% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 16.6% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 13.9% |
| Ege Ozgul | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lindsay | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 8.8% |
| Nick Ferrara | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 22.5% | 36.5% |
| Brian Kiley | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 5.1% |
| Jacob Asher | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| Kalen Mullin | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.