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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.67+4.38vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.10+2.27vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.36+0.77vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.74+1.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.24+1.68vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering-0.65+5.62vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.02+0.30vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.13-3.67vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.09+1.29vs Predicted
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10Yale University-0.11+0.45vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-4.20vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.17-4.91vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35-1.85vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.16-2.24vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.27Northeastern University2.100.1%1st Place
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3.77Brown University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.25Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University1.240.1%1st Place
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11.62Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.33Harvard University2.130.2%1st Place
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10.29Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.45Yale University-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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11.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.76University of New Hampshire-1.160.0%1st Place
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12.86Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Chaumont | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 14.6% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 20.0% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ege Ozgul | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 13.3% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 16.0% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 3.8% |
| Jacob Asher | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
| Charles Lindsay | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Raymond Huffman | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 9.7% |
| Kalen Mullin | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 22.1% | 31.9% |
| Nick Ferrara | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.