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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.21+2.26vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.44+2.53vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.35+1.25vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.75+0.91vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.87+0.12vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59-3.43vs Predicted
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7American University-1.27-0.99vs Predicted
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8Washington College-2.05-0.72vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-1.90-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26William and Mary0.210.2%1st Place
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4.53University of Virginia-0.440.1%1st Place
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4.25Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
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5.12William and Mary-0.870.1%1st Place
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2.57Virginia Tech0.590.3%1st Place
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6.01American University-1.270.1%1st Place
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7.28Washington College-2.050.0%1st Place
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7.08St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constantyn van der Voort | 20.9% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Weisenfluh | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Clare Wagner | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Audrey Fulk | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 6.7% |
| Christopher Magno | 31.8% | 26.5% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cala Coffman | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 12.4% |
| Gage Mandrell | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 20.7% | 40.2% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 25.4% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.