← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1William and Mary0.21+2.21vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech0.59+0.73vs Predicted
-
3William and Mary-0.87+2.29vs Predicted
-
4Catholic University of America-0.35+0.12vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia-0.44-0.74vs Predicted
-
6American University-1.27-0.08vs Predicted
-
7Washington College-2.05+0.39vs Predicted
-
8St. John's College-1.90-0.91vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland-0.75-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21William and Mary0.210.2%1st Place
-
2.73Virginia Tech0.590.3%1st Place
-
5.29William and Mary-0.870.1%1st Place
-
4.12Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
-
4.26University of Virginia-0.440.1%1st Place
-
5.92American University-1.270.1%1st Place
-
7.39Washington College-2.050.0%1st Place
-
7.09St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
-
4.98University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constantyn van der Voort | 22.7% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Magno | 29.0% | 24.1% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Fulk | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 5.8% |
| Clare Wagner | 11.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Weisenfluh | 12.0% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Cala Coffman | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 11.6% |
| Gage Mandrell | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 21.0% | 41.7% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 23.6% | 33.0% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.