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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.21+2.22vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.35+2.38vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.44+1.41vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59-1.45vs Predicted
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5American University-1.27+0.84vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.87-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.75-2.00vs Predicted
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8Washington College-2.05-0.68vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-1.90-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22William and Mary0.210.2%1st Place
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4.38Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Virginia-0.440.1%1st Place
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2.55Virginia Tech0.590.3%1st Place
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5.84American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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5.2William and Mary-0.870.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
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7.32Washington College-2.050.0%1st Place
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7.09St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constantyn van der Voort | 21.7% | 20.7% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Clare Wagner | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Weisenfluh | 12.0% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Magno | 31.6% | 25.8% | 19.0% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 13.1% |
| Audrey Fulk | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
| Gage Mandrell | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 22.8% | 39.9% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 23.9% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.