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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+1.59vs Predicted
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2American University-1.27+4.16vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.44+1.45vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.21-0.87vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.87+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.75-1.04vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.35-2.76vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-1.90-0.93vs Predicted
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9Washington College-2.05-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Virginia Tech0.590.3%1st Place
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6.16American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Virginia-0.440.1%1st Place
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3.13William and Mary0.210.2%1st Place
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5.09William and Mary-0.870.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
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4.24Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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7.07St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
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7.3Washington College-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 32.2% | 25.3% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 14.4% |
| Matthew Weisenfluh | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 21.3% | 22.5% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Fulk | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 6.2% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 8.2% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 4.4% |
| Clare Wagner | 12.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 25.8% | 31.7% |
| Gage Mandrell | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 22.2% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.