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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.26+3.92vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.58+3.70vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.60+3.47vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.16-0.92vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.85+1.12vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.70-1.69vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.95-1.15vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.53-3.33vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.63+0.36vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.33-2.73vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.11-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Old Dominion University1.2612.4%1st Place
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5.7Hampton University0.587.4%1st Place
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6.47Christopher Newport University0.605.0%1st Place
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3.08College of Charleston2.1625.8%1st Place
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6.12Eckerd College0.856.3%1st Place
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4.31Jacksonville University1.7014.2%1st Place
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5.85Rollins College0.957.9%1st Place
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4.67North Carolina State University1.5313.0%1st Place
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9.36The Citadel-0.631.6%1st Place
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7.27University of Miami0.333.8%1st Place
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8.23Clemson University-0.112.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blake Goodwin | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
Tyler Brown | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 1.9% |
Aston Atherton | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
Eliott Raison | 25.8% | 22.4% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Pj Rodrigues | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
Patrick Igoe | 14.2% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Milo Miller | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
Jacob Usher | 13.0% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
Camden Hom | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 51.8% |
Dan Elling | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 9.7% |
Neil Bunce | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 23.0% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.