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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.90+3.67vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+5.15vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+2.80vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02+6.47vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.28+7.36vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.54-0.28vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.78+1.11vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.62-2.49vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.80-4.11vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.02-2.51vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.37+1.19vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.16-4.83vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.13-5.67vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.73-2.72vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.23-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Yale University2.900.2%1st Place
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7.15Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.47University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
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12.36Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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5.72Boston College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.11Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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5.51Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.49Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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12.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.370.0%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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11.28McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Marwell | 16.1% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Jonas Nelle | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 10.1% |
| Corinne Poitras | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 14.0% | 19.9% | 33.0% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Noah Simmons | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| John Sisk | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 30.4% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Riley Read | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Zach Zeelander | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 15.7% |
| Joshua Stone | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.