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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.90+3.67vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.80+2.84vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.13+3.96vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.54+1.74vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.02+2.47vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.62-0.50vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.16-0.09vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03-0.69vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.23+0.84vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.50-4.02vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.78-2.82vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.73-0.48vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.28-0.50vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.37-1.82vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.02-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Yale University2.900.2%1st Place
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4.84University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.74Boston College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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5.5Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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6.91Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.31Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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5.98Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.18Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.52McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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12.5Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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12.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.370.0%1st Place
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10.4University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Marwell | 15.4% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 13.1% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 11.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Noah Simmons | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Stone | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 5.6% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Zach Zeelander | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 17.2% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 34.9% |
| John Sisk | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 28.5% |
| Grace Cannon | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.