Race 6A

nicholas-barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Riley Read 7.9% 7.7% 8.0% 7.0% 6.7% 8.9% 8.8% 9.3% 8.0% 7.5% 7.5% 6.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.5%
Noah Simmons 11.1% 13.2% 10.2% 10.0% 12.0% 7.2% 9.1% 8.3% 6.1% 5.2% 4.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Jonas Nelle 9.2% 11.4% 11.8% 7.5% 10.1% 9.6% 8.4% 8.6% 6.6% 7.7% 4.7% 2.3% 1.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Ellie Maus 6.7% 6.2% 6.6% 8.4% 7.2% 6.9% 7.8% 8.6% 9.5% 9.1% 8.3% 6.8% 3.9% 3.1% 0.9%
Nicholas Marwell 15.2% 13.7% 11.0% 12.0% 10.8% 9.6% 9.1% 4.9% 5.0% 4.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Joshua Stone 2.3% 3.5% 2.9% 4.4% 3.0% 3.7% 6.3% 4.7% 6.8% 7.9% 10.4% 13.7% 13.6% 10.0% 6.8%
Aidan naughton 15.1% 11.1% 12.6% 11.9% 10.7% 8.6% 8.2% 6.4% 5.6% 3.8% 2.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Zach Zeelander 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 1.5% 2.7% 4.1% 2.6% 2.9% 5.5% 6.7% 7.9% 10.7% 13.6% 18.9% 17.4%
Caleb Niles 4.7% 4.4% 4.8% 6.5% 6.9% 7.0% 8.1% 8.6% 9.2% 8.6% 8.9% 10.1% 7.5% 4.0% 0.7%
Ryutaro Sochi 6.4% 6.7% 6.6% 9.3% 7.9% 8.6% 7.7% 10.4% 8.9% 7.3% 7.8% 5.2% 5.2% 1.7% 0.3%
John (Jack) Plavan 11.0% 10.1% 11.6% 8.7% 8.7% 9.6% 8.2% 7.7% 6.4% 6.1% 5.2% 3.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Raymond Groble IV 4.9% 5.5% 6.7% 7.6% 6.3% 7.3% 7.6% 9.1% 10.2% 9.8% 7.7% 8.6% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5%
Grace Cannon 2.0% 2.4% 2.3% 2.7% 3.3% 4.5% 3.7% 4.5% 5.1% 6.6% 9.9% 11.9% 13.9% 16.1% 11.1%
Corinne Poitras 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 2.8% 3.8% 5.0% 6.1% 6.5% 13.6% 20.7% 31.5%
John Sisk 0.9% 1.1% 1.8% 1.2% 2.3% 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 3.3% 3.9% 6.8% 9.3% 12.7% 18.7% 30.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.