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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.19+3.86vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.85+3.86vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.95+2.66vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.700.00vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.26-0.39vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.60+0.20vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.58-1.55vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.53-3.46vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.11-0.80vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.21-2.56vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.63-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86College of Charleston1.1912.2%1st Place
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5.86Eckerd College0.858.5%1st Place
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5.66Rollins College0.959.3%1st Place
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4.0Jacksonville University1.7018.2%1st Place
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4.61Old Dominion University1.2613.7%1st Place
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6.2Christopher Newport University0.607.4%1st Place
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5.45Hampton University0.589.2%1st Place
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4.54North Carolina State University1.5312.9%1st Place
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8.2Clemson University-0.113.2%1st Place
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7.44University of Miami0.213.9%1st Place
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9.18The Citadel-0.631.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Griffin Beaulieu | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
Pj Rodrigues | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
Milo Miller | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
Patrick Igoe | 18.2% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Blake Goodwin | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
Aston Atherton | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 5.2% |
Tyler Brown | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
Jacob Usher | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
Neil Bunce | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 22.4% | 23.2% |
Christopher McCollum | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 12.6% |
Camden Hom | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 18.0% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.