Race 11A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ellie Maus 6.8% 7.4% 10.0% 9.1% 8.6% 10.4% 9.1% 9.1% 9.9% 8.0% 4.4% 4.1% 2.5% 0.6%
Nicholas Marwell 17.0% 16.9% 14.9% 14.2% 10.9% 9.2% 6.3% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Simmons 13.5% 12.7% 12.4% 12.4% 10.5% 9.8% 9.0% 7.6% 5.7% 3.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Jonas Nelle 10.1% 14.3% 9.9% 11.1% 11.4% 9.7% 9.1% 7.8% 7.7% 4.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Grace Cannon 2.2% 1.6% 4.4% 3.0% 3.8% 4.8% 6.4% 7.3% 7.8% 10.8% 13.1% 13.4% 14.0% 7.4%
Aidan naughton 15.1% 14.1% 13.8% 12.9% 10.6% 9.4% 7.5% 6.6% 4.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryutaro Sochi 9.8% 8.7% 8.6% 9.8% 10.1% 9.8% 9.7% 10.2% 8.1% 6.2% 5.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Riley Read 8.7% 8.7% 7.7% 9.4% 10.0% 8.9% 10.3% 8.4% 8.5% 8.1% 5.9% 3.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Raymond Groble IV 7.6% 6.1% 7.4% 7.3% 10.3% 10.2% 9.7% 10.7% 9.0% 9.0% 6.9% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7%
Zach Zeelander 2.0% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 2.5% 3.3% 5.6% 6.5% 6.9% 10.1% 14.2% 13.0% 14.7% 15.6%
Ben Palmer 0.9% 2.6% 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 4.0% 5.9% 6.3% 7.4% 12.0% 16.6% 17.1% 18.6%
Joshua Stone 3.4% 2.3% 4.6% 3.2% 4.7% 6.2% 7.1% 7.6% 10.9% 12.4% 12.2% 12.0% 7.3% 6.1%
Corinne Poitras 2.0% 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 4.8% 7.9% 9.3% 14.7% 18.5% 27.7%
John Sisk 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.6% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 4.5% 7.1% 7.3% 9.3% 13.8% 20.7% 23.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.