Race 13A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Raymond Groble IV 6.9% 6.4% 9.2% 10.3% 8.8% 8.8% 9.6% 10.3% 9.3% 8.0% 5.3% 4.4% 1.9% 0.8%
Noah Simmons 13.9% 12.8% 11.9% 14.0% 9.8% 11.3% 9.2% 5.8% 5.4% 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Riley Read 8.4% 8.4% 9.2% 7.3% 9.3% 10.7% 9.0% 11.2% 8.6% 7.6% 6.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Ellie Maus 6.1% 7.4% 8.8% 9.0% 8.1% 9.6% 10.7% 10.5% 8.9% 8.7% 6.2% 3.3% 2.2% 0.5%
Ryutaro Sochi 7.4% 7.1% 10.0% 8.9% 10.8% 10.0% 9.3% 9.1% 9.6% 8.4% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5%
John Sisk 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 1.7% 2.0% 2.4% 4.0% 3.8% 4.7% 5.1% 12.9% 14.0% 19.6% 25.5%
Nicholas Marwell 18.8% 18.1% 13.5% 10.9% 11.4% 9.3% 6.9% 5.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Jonas Nelle 11.5% 12.5% 11.3% 11.1% 10.0% 10.0% 9.1% 7.0% 7.0% 5.7% 2.3% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Corinne Poitras 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 2.4% 4.3% 4.9% 6.0% 9.3% 14.4% 20.3% 28.2%
Zach Zeelander 1.9% 2.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.7% 4.0% 4.5% 5.8% 8.2% 9.5% 12.6% 14.7% 16.9% 13.4%
Ben Palmer 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 3.6% 3.6% 6.1% 7.0% 8.7% 11.2% 16.1% 16.5% 18.5%
Grace Cannon 2.5% 1.6% 3.1% 3.7% 4.8% 3.8% 6.9% 6.7% 9.7% 12.7% 12.9% 12.3% 11.1% 8.2%
Aidan naughton 16.0% 15.3% 13.2% 12.1% 11.6% 9.3% 7.9% 6.2% 3.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Joshua Stone 3.0% 3.6% 2.9% 5.5% 6.7% 5.0% 6.9% 7.3% 9.9% 11.9% 13.2% 11.7% 8.3% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.