Race 14A

nicholas-barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caleb Niles 5.4% 6.0% 6.6% 6.7% 7.2% 8.5% 8.2% 8.2% 10.0% 10.0% 9.6% 6.9% 4.8% 1.9%
Ellie Maus 8.1% 6.7% 8.5% 8.4% 9.0% 8.1% 8.1% 9.6% 11.3% 8.9% 5.9% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6%
Ryutaro Sochi 7.9% 8.7% 9.5% 7.7% 8.0% 9.6% 9.0% 9.5% 9.6% 7.8% 6.2% 4.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Nicholas Marwell 16.2% 16.4% 13.3% 13.8% 9.4% 7.8% 8.7% 7.1% 3.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Corinne Poitras 1.2% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 2.8% 3.0% 4.0% 6.3% 8.7% 11.6% 20.7% 33.5%
Noah Simmons 11.3% 12.0% 11.6% 12.4% 10.5% 9.5% 8.5% 7.6% 5.9% 5.6% 2.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Grace Cannon 3.1% 2.7% 3.4% 4.2% 4.2% 5.3% 5.1% 5.0% 7.6% 10.8% 11.5% 14.3% 13.1% 9.7%
Riley Read 8.1% 9.0% 8.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.5% 7.8% 9.1% 9.1% 7.0% 6.7% 5.0% 3.3% 0.4%
Aidan naughton 13.6% 15.1% 12.2% 12.4% 10.7% 9.8% 8.5% 6.4% 5.1% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Joshua Stone 3.4% 2.7% 3.2% 2.6% 4.9% 5.5% 7.0% 7.5% 7.8% 10.4% 12.9% 13.7% 11.2% 7.2%
Jonas Nelle 11.5% 9.9% 11.2% 10.9% 10.2% 9.1% 10.2% 7.5% 6.9% 4.7% 4.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Raymond Groble IV 6.9% 6.5% 6.8% 7.8% 9.7% 9.1% 9.8% 10.2% 8.7% 7.5% 6.9% 6.0% 3.2% 0.9%
Zach Zeelander 2.0% 1.7% 2.7% 2.4% 2.9% 3.4% 3.6% 5.5% 4.9% 8.7% 12.3% 16.7% 16.3% 16.9%
John Sisk 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 1.2% 2.3% 2.8% 2.7% 3.8% 5.6% 7.0% 9.4% 11.0% 21.6% 28.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.