Race 15A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caleb Niles 5.1% 5.0% 8.2% 6.3% 6.7% 8.6% 8.4% 8.2% 9.9% 10.1% 9.3% 8.1% 4.7% 1.4%
Ellie Maus 7.4% 7.6% 7.9% 8.6% 7.4% 9.8% 8.5% 11.3% 8.1% 10.0% 6.7% 3.9% 2.4% 0.4%
Nicholas Marwell 17.5% 15.1% 14.8% 12.6% 10.4% 7.6% 7.7% 6.1% 3.5% 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Ryutaro Sochi 7.7% 8.2% 7.8% 8.7% 8.7% 9.6% 9.1% 9.9% 10.1% 7.1% 7.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.6%
John Sisk 1.2% 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 3.4% 3.2% 4.1% 6.4% 10.6% 11.2% 21.3% 30.0%
Raymond Groble IV 7.5% 6.2% 6.2% 8.0% 9.1% 8.7% 9.3% 7.5% 10.6% 9.5% 7.9% 5.1% 3.8% 0.6%
Grace Cannon 2.8% 2.7% 3.6% 3.8% 4.5% 4.3% 6.1% 6.1% 6.4% 10.3% 11.8% 14.9% 14.0% 8.7%
Zach Zeelander 2.1% 2.6% 2.0% 2.9% 3.4% 4.1% 3.2% 4.6% 5.4% 8.4% 9.7% 17.1% 15.0% 19.5%
Aidan naughton 13.8% 15.7% 12.0% 10.5% 12.3% 9.2% 8.3% 7.1% 5.2% 2.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Joshua Stone 3.0% 3.6% 2.9% 3.3% 3.5% 5.6% 5.9% 7.3% 8.5% 11.8% 12.7% 14.1% 11.6% 6.2%
Jonas Nelle 10.9% 10.4% 11.6% 10.8% 9.3% 9.5% 8.3% 9.3% 7.9% 4.7% 3.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Riley Read 6.6% 7.3% 8.5% 9.6% 9.1% 8.2% 10.5% 9.0% 10.2% 7.4% 5.6% 4.6% 2.6% 0.8%
Corinne Poitras 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 1.1% 2.3% 2.2% 2.6% 4.3% 4.2% 5.7% 7.9% 12.9% 21.2% 31.6%
Noah Simmons 13.1% 13.3% 11.3% 12.1% 11.4% 10.4% 8.7% 6.1% 5.9% 3.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.