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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+2.30vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.65+3.13vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+3.92vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.11+1.94vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.33+0.18vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.13-0.23vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.52+3.59vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.94-1.63vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.63-1.50vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.78-3.05vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.69-3.59vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.56-1.36vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.81vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Yale University3.430.3%1st Place
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5.13Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.92Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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4.97Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.59McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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11.64University of New Hampshire0.560.0%1st Place
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12.19Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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12.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 26.1% | 21.5% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 10.5% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| John Walton | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Graham Ness | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 19.4% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Lisa Olsson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 18.7% |
| Luke Healy | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 27.8% |
| Alec Bodenski | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.