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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.65+4.21vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.07+4.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+0.22vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.13+2.75vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.94+2.43vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.63+2.42vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75-2.07vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.11-1.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+3.23vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.52+1.69vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.78-3.03vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.33-5.61vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.69-4.60vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.56-2.49vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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3.22Yale University3.430.3%1st Place
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6.75Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.42Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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4.93Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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12.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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11.69McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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6.39Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.4Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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11.51University of New Hampshire0.560.0%1st Place
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12.12Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 26.3% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Wells Drayton | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alec Bodenski | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 27.1% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 20.5% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| John Walton | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Lisa Olsson | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 17.2% |
| Luke Healy | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 19.8% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.