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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.63+7.22vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.33+4.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+0.28vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.11+1.95vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.65-0.72vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.94+0.34vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+4.23vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.13-2.26vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07-2.92vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.52+0.63vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.56-0.25vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.78-4.87vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.86vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.69-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.13Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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3.28Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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4.94Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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5.28Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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12.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.74Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.08Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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11.63McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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11.75University of New Hampshire0.560.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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12.14Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Hirschmann | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| John Walton | 6.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 24.9% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Wells Drayton | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Alec Bodenski | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 20.7% | 28.0% |
| Graham Ness | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 19.8% |
| Lisa Olsson | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 19.6% |
| Christopher Pearson | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Luke Healy | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 21.1% | 25.9% |
| Michael Tellini | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.