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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.11+5.80vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+2.85vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.65+2.20vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.33+2.23vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.63+3.46vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.13+0.80vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-3.66vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.94-0.56vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07-2.03vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.56+1.50vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.78-3.04vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+0.42vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.68vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.52-2.43vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.69-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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4.85Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.2Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.23Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.46Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.8Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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3.34Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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6.97Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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11.5University of New Hampshire0.560.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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12.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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12.32Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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11.57McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connell Phillipps | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 12.3% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Graham Ness | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 24.9% | 20.4% | 17.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Micky Munns | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Lisa Olsson | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 16.6% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Alec Bodenski | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 20.6% | 29.7% |
| Luke Healy | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 22.8% | 28.4% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 19.2% |
| Michael Tellini | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.