Race 11B

charleston-fall-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Patrick Igoe 18.5% 15.7% 13.6% 12.7% 11.6% 9.7% 7.8% 5.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.3%
Griffin Beaulieu 11.8% 12.7% 12.3% 12.7% 10.5% 10.3% 10.7% 8.6% 5.9% 3.3% 0.9%
Blake Goodwin 14.4% 11.8% 12.2% 12.8% 11.5% 10.2% 10.0% 7.6% 5.7% 2.9% 0.8%
Pj Rodrigues 8.8% 9.1% 8.8% 8.9% 9.1% 11.3% 10.4% 11.2% 10.5% 8.1% 3.7%
Tyler Brown 10.3% 9.1% 10.3% 9.2% 11.1% 11.8% 10.2% 10.8% 9.2% 5.5% 2.5%
Milo Miller 8.6% 10.9% 9.2% 9.2% 10.1% 10.2% 10.3% 10.3% 10.9% 7.6% 2.5%
Aston Atherton 7.2% 7.2% 8.0% 8.9% 8.9% 9.3% 10.8% 11.3% 13.0% 10.2% 5.1%
Jacob Usher 11.3% 13.7% 13.6% 12.0% 10.8% 11.4% 10.2% 7.2% 5.8% 3.0% 1.0%
Neil Bunce 2.9% 3.7% 3.5% 4.4% 6.6% 6.1% 6.2% 7.9% 13.7% 22.1% 22.9%
Christopher McCollum 4.3% 4.5% 5.8% 6.5% 6.8% 6.6% 8.6% 11.8% 14.1% 18.1% 12.9%
Camden Hom 1.7% 1.5% 2.6% 2.7% 3.1% 3.0% 4.8% 7.4% 8.4% 17.4% 47.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.