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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.79vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+5.82vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.68+4.16vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.51+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+1.20vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+2.79vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.39+1.32vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+2.05vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-0.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.10vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.16+1.63vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.67-4.80vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.79-6.11vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.32+0.86vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.90-4.88vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-7.89vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.81-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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7.16Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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6.2University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.79Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.32Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.85University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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12.63Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.89Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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14.86University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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10.12Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.0%1st Place
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13.64Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.0% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Billing | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Ryann Hall | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 14.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 20.3% | 46.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Kelly Crane | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Alison Love | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.