← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.63+7.30vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.75+2.86vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.07+3.99vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.65+1.25vs Predicted
-
5McGill University0.52+6.57vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.43-2.71vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.94+0.37vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.11-1.09vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College1.69-0.81vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.13-3.12vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.33-4.71vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.78-3.80vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.70vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire0.56-2.54vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.3Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
-
4.86Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
6.99Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
-
5.25Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
-
11.57McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
-
3.29Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
-
7.37Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
-
6.91University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
-
8.19Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
-
6.88Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
-
6.29Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
-
8.2University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
-
12.3Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
-
11.46University of New Hampshire0.560.0%1st Place
-
12.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 11.7% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 20.2% | 19.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 23.9% | 21.8% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Graham Ness | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Walton | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Pearson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Luke Healy | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 20.5% | 29.5% |
| Lisa Olsson | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 16.8% |
| Alec Bodenski | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.