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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+2.27vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.65+3.12vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.11+3.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.94+3.44vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.52+6.57vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.33+0.25vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.69+1.12vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.63+0.45vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07-2.02vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.27+2.25vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.13-4.12vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-6.89vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.78-4.86vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.56-2.52vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Yale University3.430.3%1st Place
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5.12Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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11.57McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College1.690.1%1st Place
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8.45Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.98Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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12.25Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.88Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.11Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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11.48University of New Hampshire0.560.0%1st Place
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12.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 27.1% | 20.9% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 20.3% |
| John Walton | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Tellini | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Micky Munns | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Luke Healy | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 21.4% | 28.5% |
| Graham Ness | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 11.8% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Lisa Olsson | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 17.8% |
| Alec Bodenski | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 20.1% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.