Race 8B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Graham Ness 7.3% 7.7% 7.5% 9.5% 8.0% 8.8% 8.8% 8.0% 9.5% 7.3% 6.4% 4.9% 3.8% 2.1% 0.4%
Micky Munns 6.1% 8.3% 7.4% 8.8% 8.6% 8.1% 7.9% 10.2% 8.2% 7.4% 7.5% 4.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.3%
Wells Drayton 5.2% 6.0% 7.5% 7.2% 8.3% 6.4% 8.1% 9.6% 8.6% 9.3% 8.5% 7.7% 5.0% 2.3% 0.3%
Dylan Ascencios 13.5% 12.2% 12.9% 11.5% 9.7% 10.2% 9.8% 6.1% 4.8% 3.8% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Teddy Nicolosi 26.1% 18.8% 16.2% 13.1% 7.5% 7.4% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Walton 8.4% 9.5% 7.7% 8.5% 11.4% 10.7% 9.1% 7.8% 8.8% 6.7% 4.5% 4.2% 1.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Connell Phillipps 7.1% 6.0% 7.9% 8.0% 9.3% 8.7% 9.2% 9.1% 9.5% 8.0% 6.2% 4.9% 4.2% 1.6% 0.3%
Santiago Hirschmann 3.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.8% 6.6% 6.6% 7.3% 8.7% 7.5% 9.1% 10.5% 10.5% 8.9% 4.2% 1.6%
Christopher Pearson 3.6% 6.2% 5.3% 5.9% 7.1% 8.0% 8.2% 8.7% 9.1% 9.2% 10.2% 8.4% 6.4% 3.0% 0.7%
Luke Healy 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.5% 2.2% 3.4% 5.6% 6.4% 8.5% 14.1% 21.1% 28.2%
Adele DesBrisay 1.6% 1.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.3% 2.5% 3.7% 3.0% 4.6% 6.0% 8.1% 8.8% 16.0% 19.1% 20.0%
Lisa Olsson 1.4% 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 2.2% 2.2% 3.9% 4.5% 6.0% 8.0% 12.1% 15.0% 20.2% 18.4%
Christopher Lukens 9.8% 11.2% 12.3% 9.6% 9.6% 8.6% 10.8% 9.2% 7.3% 5.3% 2.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.2%
Alec Bodenski 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 1.7% 3.1% 1.7% 2.5% 3.9% 4.5% 7.6% 10.2% 13.8% 18.6% 28.2%
Michael Tellini 4.3% 4.7% 6.4% 5.7% 6.5% 7.1% 6.7% 8.0% 8.3% 10.2% 9.6% 10.6% 6.1% 4.5% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.