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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+2.30vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+3.00vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+4.09vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.13+3.04vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.33+1.27vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+1.05vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65-1.55vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.94-0.57vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.69-0.71vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.63-1.39vs Predicted
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11Bates College0.02+2.20vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.78-3.94vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.56-1.14vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.44vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.52-2.92vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Yale University3.430.3%1st Place
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5.0Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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7.04Boston College2.130.0%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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5.45Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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8.61Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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13.2Bates College0.020.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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11.86University of New Hampshire0.560.0%1st Place
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12.56Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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12.08McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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12.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 26.4% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 4.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| John Walton | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Tellini | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Herde | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 20.0% | 30.7% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Lisa Olsson | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 11.8% |
| Luke Healy | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 20.2% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 14.2% |
| Alec Bodenski | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.