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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.65+4.28vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.63+6.53vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+2.06vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43-0.62vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.07+2.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.94+1.68vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.78+1.21vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.33-1.74vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.13-2.08vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.52+2.11vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.56+0.85vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+0.69vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.69-4.65vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.28-1.40vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.25vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.11-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.53Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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5.06Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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3.38Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.24Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.92Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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12.11McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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11.85University of New Hampshire0.560.0%1st Place
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12.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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12.6Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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12.75Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 11.1% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 13.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 24.6% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| John Walton | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 14.1% |
| Lisa Olsson | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 13.0% |
| Alec Bodenski | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 24.6% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 23.1% |
| Luke Healy | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 22.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.