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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+3.81vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.11+4.56vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.33+3.06vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.07+2.86vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43-1.64vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.63+2.30vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.13-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.78-0.22vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.70-4.05vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.69-1.92vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+0.77vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.94-4.51vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.61+1.47vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.52-2.80vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.27-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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6.06Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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3.36Yale University3.430.3%1st Place
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8.3Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.63Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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4.95Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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11.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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14.47University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.2McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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11.68Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 25.1% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Graham Ness | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Tellini | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Alec Bodenski | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 28.0% | 9.3% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| David Swan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 78.7% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 22.0% | 21.1% | 4.7% |
| Luke Healy | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 29.5% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.