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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.11+4.58vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.13+3.61vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.69+3.98vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.07+1.95vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.33+0.12vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.70-2.00vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.78-0.25vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-4.19vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.63-1.67vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.94-3.67vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.52-0.62vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-1.14vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.61+0.42vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.27-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Yale University3.430.3%1st Place
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6.58University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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6.95Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.12Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.0Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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4.81Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.33Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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11.38McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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11.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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14.42University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.64Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 27.1% | 21.3% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Walton | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Wells Drayton | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 23.2% | 20.4% | 5.1% |
| Alec Bodenski | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 13.4% | 21.5% | 27.7% | 8.8% |
| David Swan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 11.1% | 77.7% |
| Luke Healy | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 19.0% | 28.3% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.